Mega Millions

Mega Millions Odds

The jackpot and every prize tier, based on the current game matrix

Updated

Quick answer: the odds of winning the Mega Millions jackpot are 1 in 290,472,336 per ticket, and the odds of winning any prize are about 1 in 23.

Calculate your own odds โ†’

Mega Millions odds by prize tier

Odds per single ticket, rounded to the nearest whole number. Prize amounts can change with game rules and multipliers, so confirm current amounts at megamillions.com.

MatchPrizeOddsChance per ticket
5 + Mega BallJackpot1 in 290,472,3360.000000344%
5$1,000,0001 in 12,629,2320.000008%
4 + Mega Ball$10,0001 in 893,7610.000112%
4$5991 in 38,8590.002573%
3 + Mega Ball$2001 in 13,9650.007161%
3$101 in 6070.165%
2 + Mega Ball$101 in 6650.150%
1 + Mega Ball$41 in 861.16%
Mega Ball only$21 in 352.86%

How the Mega Millions odds are calculated

Mega Millions players pick 5 white balls from 70 and 1 Mega Ball from 24. There are C(70,5) = 12,103,014 ways to choose the white balls, and multiplying by 24 gives 290,472,336 possible combinations, so the jackpot odds are 1 in 290,472,336.

Other tiers work the same way. To win the second prize you match all five white balls but miss the Mega Ball, which can happen in 23 of the 24 Mega Ball outcomes: 290,472,336 รท 23 = 12,629,232, or 1 in 12,629,232.

What changed in April 2025

Before April 2025 the Mega Ball came from a pool of 25, which made the jackpot odds 1 in 302,575,350 (12,103,014 ร— 25). Cutting the pool to 24 improved the jackpot odds to 1 in 290,472,336 and changed the odds of every other tier. Older articles that still quote the previous numbers are out of date.

Your odds with more tickets

Approximate odds, treating each ticket as an independent play. Cost uses the $5 ticket price.

TicketsCostJackpot oddsChance of any prize
1 ticket$5about 1 in 290,472,3364.3%
10 tickets$50about 1 in 29,047,23435.9%
104 tickets (one every drawing for a year)$520about 1 in 2,793,00399.0%
1,000 tickets$5,000about 1 in 290,472>99.9%

Want a different number of tickets or weeks? Use the odds calculator.

Mega Millions vs. Powerball odds

Per ticket, the Mega Millions jackpot odds (1 in 290,472,336) are slightly better than Powerball's (1 in 292,201,338). Price changes the picture: a Mega Millions ticket costs $5 and a Powerball ticket $2, so the same money buys about 2.5 times more Powerball jackpot chances. Neither game is a good bet in the financial sense; both are best treated as entertainment. See the full comparison in Powerball vs. Mega Millions, or the Powerball odds page.

Mega Millions odds FAQ

What are the odds of winning the Mega Millions jackpot?

The odds of winning the Mega Millions jackpot are 1 in 290,472,336 per ticket. You need to match all five white balls (from 70) and the Mega Ball (from 24).

What are the odds of winning any prize in Mega Millions?

The overall odds of winning some prize are about 1 in 23 per ticket. Most of those wins are the smallest tiers, such as matching only the Mega Ball.

What are the odds of winning $1 million in Mega Millions?

Matching all five white balls but not the Mega Ball wins the $1 million second prize, at odds of 1 in 12,629,232 per ticket.

Did the Mega Millions odds change?

Yes. In April 2025 the Mega Ball pool changed from 25 numbers to 24, which moved the jackpot odds from 1 in 302,575,350 to 1 in 290,472,336 and changed the odds of every other prize tier.

Are Mega Millions or Powerball odds better?

Per ticket, the Mega Millions jackpot odds (1 in 290,472,336) are slightly better than Powerball's (1 in 292,201,338). But a Mega Millions ticket costs $5 versus $2, so the same money buys about 2.5 times more Powerball jackpot chances.

Does buying more tickets improve my odds?

Your chance rises in direct proportion to the tickets you buy, but it starts from a tiny number. Even 1,000 tickets leave you at roughly 1 in 290,472 for the jackpot.

For entertainment purposes only. This tool does not predict, influence, or improve your odds of winning โ€” lottery drawings are random and independent, and past results have no bearing on future ones. Nothing here guarantees success. Play responsibly.
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